Un modelo económico de simulación para Andalucía: Fundamentos metodológicos y modelos alternativos

Traditional regional forecasting and simulation models such as the economic base and inputoutput models imply well-documented assumptions. For example, demand is perfectly inelastic and supply is perfectly elastic; thus, the models produce constant multipliers. In my opinion the implicit assumption... Deskribapen osoa

Egile nagusia: Isla Castillo, Fernando
Formatua: Artikulua
Hizkuntza: Gaztelania
Argitaratua: Universidad de Almería 2001
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Laburpena: Traditional regional forecasting and simulation models such as the economic base and inputoutput models imply well-documented assumptions. For example, demand is perfectly inelastic and supply is perfectly elastic; thus, the models produce constant multipliers. In my opinion the implicit assumption behind input-output is unrealistic. This article presents the general structure of the Simulation Economic Model for Andalusia (MECA) that to go beyond economic base and inputoutut models. First, we present the structure input-output of model and the main equations. Second, this paper describes how the alternative specifications of labor demand and supply are obtained as special cases within the MECA model. In particular, a set of output and employment multipliers is derived with six alterantive models. It is found that the different alternative models affect the values of calculated multipliers.